Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 4.860475e-01 0.634216 0.803085 1.007256 1.244900 1.510361 1.826857
2025-10-19 2.607177e-01 0.429980 0.652226 0.953656 1.340213 1.808322 2.406760
2025-10-26 1.392466e-01 0.300512 0.546629 0.918954 1.438408 2.109906 3.015303
2025-11-02 7.714682e-02 0.224131 0.485345 0.921679 1.575002 2.464274 3.712467
2025-11-09 3.675023e-02 0.157127 0.412668 0.886074 1.645184 2.728736 4.304799
2025-11-16 2.052289e-02 0.127900 0.393660 0.927252 1.826681 3.153823 5.131350
2025-11-23 9.240993e-03 0.096935 0.357714 0.929001 1.942465 3.487665 5.844287
2025-11-30 5.013910e-03 0.084677 0.357896 0.994695 2.164124 3.985889 6.806220
2025-12-07 2.157767e-03 0.070535 0.346876 1.034903 2.343901 4.427365 7.700676
2025-12-14 5.974561e-04 0.055512 0.325504 1.048444 2.476173 4.799432 8.504361
2025-12-21 4.579006e-05 0.040183 0.293144 1.030357 2.547893 5.077085 9.174986
2025-12-28 9.425869e-09 0.031438 0.277561 1.046251 2.680656 5.454771 10.003450
2026-01-04 NaN 0.023460 0.259103 1.053078 2.799761 5.820676 10.834478
2026-01-11 NaN 0.014879 0.227162 1.017872 2.833680 6.047528 11.460516
2026-01-18 NaN 0.009209 0.201330 0.991655 2.881345 6.297485 12.127997
2026-01-25 NaN 0.006297 0.188674 0.999717 2.998660 6.668944 12.993805
2026-02-01 NaN 0.003267 0.164267 0.964619 3.020788 6.875568 13.603450
2026-02-08 NaN 0.002539 0.164569 1.009640 3.218487 7.394876 14.721705
2026-02-15 NaN 0.001454 0.153270 1.012192 3.322124 7.750568 15.584532
2026-02-22 NaN 0.001304 0.160483 1.082242 3.580998 8.389848 16.916261
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000945 0.160300 1.125053 3.780047 8.926484 18.090630
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000520 0.153028 1.139500 3.914562 9.349887 19.088104
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000169 0.138284 1.120386 3.968989 9.628420 19.853302